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SCENARIO

SCENARIO is for progressive people with a high degree of decision-making competence in their professional lives. They are people who work with knowledge, who make choices, and who desire the greatest possible insight into the current trends that will shape our society in the future. The magazine's ambition and success criterion is to inspire to action and development on this basis.

Below you'll find current and previous publications of SCENARIO. We also think you should visit www.scenariomagazine.com, the magazine's own international website, and facebook where we regularly post free articles and more.



SCENARIO 04:2014SCENARIO 04:2014

Silk Road is the subject for the main article in this issue: Hundreds of drug dealers are right now pushing their products online to thousands of customers. Not even hackers, thieves, and undercover cops are able to quench the spirit of what resembles a revolution in the making. In 2014, the neighbourhood pusher is your mailman. Other topics and articles in this issue: Lagos leaping towards a hi-tech future / Hikikomori: Japanese adults in voluntary isolation / Is Dad the new Mom? / FarGen: The Faeroese genome adventure / The future of civilisation / Technology & science / Do we need to be literate in the future? / Futures past: Polywater / Behavioural trends / Sneak peek: Future home and family / African Myth busting, and much more…

Read SCENARIO 04:2014 here (requires login)


SCENARIO 03:2014SCENARIO 03:2014

The intelligent or smart city is the subject for several articles in this issue, and as Jan Drejer Petersen points out on page 70, it is no new idea: Utopias and ideal cities have existed on the drawing board and in the minds of architects and planners for centuries. When these ideas were presented as planned complete solutions on a grand scale, however today we see a change of existing cities through technologies that come from bottom up and often small-scale, decentralised networks. Among other things, this is done with phones that combine mobile telephones with computing power and truly have disseminated and democratised access to information all over the world.

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SCENARIO 02:2014SCENARIO 02:2014

A range of fixed patterns in society shape developments and create the future. This is the message from philosopher Lene Andersen, who has charted no less than 17 megapatterns. In this issue of SCENARIO she tells us about how these patterns combine to shape and evolve our civilisation, which is approaching adulthood, and how the whole world is connected – from micro to macro. Her collected work constitutes a study of civilisation.

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SCENARIO 01:2014SCENARIO 01:2014

The main article this time is an interview with Kal Spelletich. You might ask why a magazine like SCENARIO prioritises telling about a person who works with robots at an artistic and abstract level. The answer is the same as if you had asked what role art plays in the development of our society. The fact is that art can do much the same things as basic research, if done sufficiently freely and radically, namely establish new insights, challenge the way things are and nudge the status quo. It creates progress precisely by not going for the main stream, the things we already know and understand, and this is why we tell you about Spelletich.

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SCENARIO 06:2013SCENARIO 06:2013

In the developed world, we live with something like an abundance of technology, and we often don’t notice the progress it brings. The reason is primarily that technological advances to most people are seen as refinements of something that already exists and that we generally are at a high level, with constant research and development, both commercially and at the universities. One model replaces another in a steady flow, and all the time more or better functions are added to our phones, computers, cars, hospital equipment, or companies’ production facilities. However, once in a while we see a leap in progress that makes us remember the time before and after a technological breakthrough.

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SCENARIO 05:2013SCENARIO 05:2013

In this issue, we look ahead to the year 2030. How do we live, work, eat and spend our time by then? This is a perspective of 17 years, and if we also look back 17 years – to 1996 – we get an idea of how much things can change. As Klaus Æ. Mogensen writes on page 54, WWW was then still in its infancy, and Internet Explorer had just been introduced, just as mobile phones hadn’t yet become ubiquitous and besides weighed half a kilogram. However, looking back we can also see how much that hasn’t changed. It is difficult to determine precisely where the changes happen or don’t happen, and the timing is always crucial.

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SCENARIO 04:2013SCENARIO 04:2013

There are many drawbacks to the democratisation of media that the internet has made possible, for instance that a huge amount of extremely poor quality content is created and distributed on the various digital platforms. Today, all of us have a megaphone to shout in, and unlike before – in the old media reality – nobody qualifi es our content before publication. On the social media and on the internet there are no editors, publishers, program directors, or anybody else that used to ensure some minimum quality and relevance before publication. We are left to our own devices. This has created what some call ‘a cult of amateurs’ and led to a deluge of cat videos, inconsequential status updates and self-promoting tweets.

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SCENARIO 03:2013SCENARIO 03:2013

In this issue we focus on the comeback of the nordic region - in both management, business, organisation, and entrepreneurship.The Nordic region is back as an inspiration for the rest of the world.The Nordic countries have too long been influenced by American leadership theories and management ideas that don’t necessarily fit the Norse mentality. It represses the region’s natural strengths, observers think, and it for this reason it is high time to (re-)invent and develop a particular New Nordic Way. The restaurant noma did it for food, and now the time has come for companies, organisations and the Nordic countries themselves.

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SCENARIO 02:2013SCENARIO 02:2013

The bicycle is an example of a simple technology that simply gets more and more relevant – even though it basically hasn’t changed in more than 100 years. In fact, it is so relevant that we in this issue point to it as being the means of transportation of the future. This is thought-provoking in an age when more and more objects look like relics of another time when they are just 10-15 years old. Just look at the mobile phone or the television (if we can even speak of that sort anymore, seeing as the boundaries between the computer and these devices are eroding rapidly). But the bicycle! It remains. Read Klaus Mogensen’s article on page 32. The car is another means of transportation that hasn’t changed much over the last century. However, unlike the bicycle it faces a revolution borne by technological progress, and we really can’t call it a car much longer. We may rather speak of robot-driven transportation units, and the car driver will become obsolete.

Read SCENARIO 02:2013 here (requires login)


SCENARIO 01:2013SCENARIO 01:2013

Sex sells – but it’s not a marketing trick when we direct the spotlight at sex in this issue of our magazine. As we describe in the article on page 13, we currently see a change taking place in our society, in which sex becomes mainstream, where the sex industry is growing bigger and more powerful, and where technological advances offer entirely new opportunities and, not least, a number of ethical considerations. For that reason we find it important in this issue to focus on bare skin, fantasies and intimate encounters between people – and in the future, also between robots and people. This means moving into the grey areas between man and technology, and as the article on page 19 describes, the boundaries between them are likely to erode more in the future, making it difficult to distinguish between man and machine – simply because sensory technology and robotics will become so advanced that you can make lifelike copies of the one you love – or would like to love (and make love to).

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SCENARIO 06:2012SCENARIO 06:2012

Entrepreneur and businessman Mikkel Vestergaard Frandsen - who we have interviewed for this issue - calls his business approach Pay for Performance, inspired by commercial companies that only get paid once the product or service has been delivered. He hopes that in the future this method will replace traditional development aid, in which you donate money with no guarantee that it will do any good.

You can think what you want about Mikkel Vestergaard Frandsen’s methods, and his approach to foreign aid – and not everyone agrees, as our article describes. At least the method is both original and effective – and if you ask us, also respectful of the people who thereby have their lives improved. Yes, Vestergaard Frandsen makes money, but development aid is at the same time turned into development, which erases the old-fashioned and somewhat patronising distinction between ‘giver’ and ‘recipient’

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SCENARIO 05:2012SCENARIO 05:2012

Reaction and counter-reaction. The one calls for the other, almost by definition. That’s why it’s hardly strange that the analogue world is encountering a new renaissance. This is the subject for our front-page story in this issue of SCENARIO.

When streetwise youths cultivate underground music on cassettes, when the Walkman once again becomes a status symbol after a time in the darkness of oblivion, and when enthusiasts once again find good use for turntables, analogue cameras and typewriters by, there really is a connection to a structural change of our society towards more digital intelligence and an alternative economy.
As a result, the resurrection of the analogue world isn’t just a matter of nostalgia and retro fashion. It is a reaction and an early answer to a change whose magnitude we are only just beginning to grasp.

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SCENARIO 04:2012SCENARIO 04:2012

The person featured on this issue’s cover, Sara Naseri is 21 years old, CEO of her own start-up, and travels all over the world to develop her product and to cooperate with companies about the invention she launched with her current business partner when she was 16. Sara, like many other youths in Europe and elsewhere, was born into a global, entrepreneurial generation of young people who can and will make it on their own and who have the entire world as their workplace, market and home. This also characterises the much-discussed Generation Y.

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SCENARIO 03:2012SCENARIO 03:2012

Piracy of intellectual property was also part of reality back when the world was analogue rather than digital. There’s a direct line from the piracy of sheet music in the early 20th century to present-day file sharing on the internet, as described by Jan Drejer Petersen on the last pages of this issue. However, while ‘pirate’ used to be an epithet appended to those guilty of illicit copying, now the file sharers themselves use the ord. This may have started with the Swedish ‘Piratbyrån’ (The Pirate Bureau), which arose as a countermeasure to ‘Antipiratbyrån’, a copyright-protection organisation.
This issue is dedicated to pirates: both those who share files and those who take hostages. Timothy Wittig has written an insightful and thought-provoking article about the latter group on page 26.

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SCENARIO 02:2012SCENARIO 02:2012

Food is something quite essential in our lives. Something we are used to think about as something natural, deriving from either flora or fauna. However, as our main article in this issue makes clear, we will see great changes in the field of food – among other things because we in the future will be able to create meat that never was part of an animal, but instead has been created in a vat in a laboratory.
We also gaze upon the future – as it is perceived by the so-called Generation Y. Everyone’s talking about Generation Y – the well-educated, anti-authoritarian prima donnas with a global viewpoint and an international and social mind set. But who are they really – and how do they differ from the generations before them? We pass the soap box to 4 representatives from Generation Y – and start with the question: What is Generation Y?

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SCENARIO 06:11/01:2012SCENARIO 06:11/01:12 (double issue)

In this double issue of our magazine, the artist Goodiepal points to something crucial about Western society. Born, as we have been, in the right place on earth in the best of all times, we have never had more surplus – but never have there been so few original thoughts as today. This is not just a paradox: it is also a problem. At least, if we believe that in the future we will have to make our livings from our intellectual abilities.

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SCENARIO 05:11SCENARIO 05:11

All over the world, cities attempt to attract residents, tourists and companies via the growing phenomenon of city branding. However, as this issue’s main article describes, it is a truly bad idea to use branding as a method. Once you think in terms of branding, you implicitly accept working with your product as if it was generic, and you end up fabricating a synthetic universe around it. This suits standardised products that can’t be developed further, but it is hopeless when it comes to cities.

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SCENARIO 04:11SCENARIO 04:11

Rational thinkers of many different eras have imagined that mankind would one day get over its religious delusion, and more than one of these philosophers has killed God. On paper, at any rate, for God has risen from the dead every single time. This means you don’t have to be much of a prophet to predict that religion will be a factor to consider in the future, whether you like it or not and whether or not you – with all your rational arguments – would prefer to disregard it. With all this in mind, Los Angeles, which we report from in this issue of our magazine, is a remarkably interesting place.

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SCENARIO 03:11SCENARIO 03:11

We live in a time full of cool concepts and people that seem to act, but in reality create nothing. People whose work consists of creating words, symbols and universes we can experience to the end of selling us something we don’t need. People that boast of belonging to the creative class, but never put anything on the line for their ideas. People that rarely leave their glass offices. Hence, the world should hear about Kristian von Bengtson, featured on our cover, who together with his partner Peter Madsen is building a rocketship with his bare hands – and who one day will fly into space in it. This is pure, unadulterated creativity.

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SCENARIO 02:11SCENARIO 02:11

To an extent, this issue of the magazine carries on where the last one left off, in that it continues to focus on the theme of risk information and management. Part of this lies in our interview with Jesper Eugen-Olsen about suPAR, the prognostic blood marker that has the capacity to provide information about the current state of health of each individual. As such, it can be used as a tool for personal risk management. Read also the interview with Joi Ito - Internet activist, venture capitalist and leader of Creative Commons. And finally we wonder: what happened to all he robots?

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SCENARIO 01:2011SCENARIO 01:2011

In this issue, we ask Ulrich Beck, the famous German sociologist, to revisit the risk society he described in his book Risikogesellschaft (Risk Society) in 1986. The reason for this is that 2011 marks the 25th anniversary of this book’s publication. What makes Ulrich Beck’s book special is that it remains the standard work of reference. Moreover, its contents have never been more apt. Lone Frank, who also adorns the front cover, tells in her most recent book a very personal story about putting herself through a series of genetic tests, and the future perspectives that follow in the wake of developments in gene technology.

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SCENARIO 03:10SCENARIO 03:10

We are currently witnessing rapid development in the fields of molecular biology and genetic research. And were we to highlight a single area that is well worth keeping an eye on in the future, this would be it. This applies no matter who you are, or what work you do. The fact is that development in this field will help society make giant leaps forward in a variety of other areas. For example, within a timeframe of just ten years, healthcare systems around the world will have access to improved opportunities to screen people for illnesses and diseases before they even occur. This means that it will be possible to screen entire populations, and prevention and early treatment will become more than just hopeful buzzwords.

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SCENARIO 02:10SCENARIO 02:10

The time, when we would let companies shove just about anything down our throats, is behind us. Scenario has interviewed Cluetrain Manifesto co-author Doc Searls, who tells us about how Internet has brought the consumer back into the driver's seat, so companies now really have to listen to their market; the conversations people are having about them.

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SCENARIO 01:10SCENARIO 01:10

He didn’t fit in as a young man, and he himself says that he was one of the “also rans” at school. Today, however, he is one of the leading international researchers in Denmark. It is likely that he will make an important contribution to cloning and “resurrecting” figures from the past by the time we get to 2040, or perhaps even sooner. As both man and scientist, Eske Willerslev is constantly amazed by what is possible and how fast development is galloping along.

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Past issues of FO/futureorientation

Before we released the first issue of SCENARIO in June 2010 the magazine was called FO/Futureorientation. Below you’ll find the past issues of Futureorientation

2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 1999-2002


ISSN: 1904-4658 (eng) // ISSN: 1904-4658 (web)




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Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies

Founded in 1970 by Professor Thorkil Kristensen, former Minister of Finance and Secretary-General of the OECD.
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